Real Esteli 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
2.28/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.71
-4% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
12.08.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.03.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
29.01.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
11.09.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
17.07.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Ocotal 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Real Esteli and 0.50 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Real Esteli 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 54%, draw 22%, Deportivo Ocotal 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
25 Aug 2024
05:00 UNAN Managua vs Managua Analysis →