Hermannstadt 2-0 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

Hermannstadt
2-0 HT 0-0
FCSB
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hermannstadt vs FCSB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hermannstadt v FCSB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
0.48/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hermannstadt vs FCSB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FCSB
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.61 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 516
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 2-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
21.09.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
22.01.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
28.08.2022 FCSB FCSB 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
14.02.2021 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
26.10.2020 FCSB FCSB 5-0 HT 4-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM

Hermannstadt 2-0 FCSB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
2-0
AWAY FCSB
1.42 xG 1.29
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
191 Passes 520
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt saw off FCSB 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 33% of the ball to FCSB's 67%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.42 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hermannstadt and 2.17 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs FCSB?

Hermannstadt 2-0 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 30%, draw 27%, FCSB 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FCSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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