OFK Beograd 3-5 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.21/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
Crosses 26.5
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
02.11.2014 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
3-5
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.61 xG 2.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
267 Passes 293
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac beat OFK Beograd 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 50% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 50%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.61 to 2.66.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

OFK Beograd 3-5 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 37%, draw 29%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 34%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OFK Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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