Al Safa 0-3 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.95/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.11
+45% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
20.09.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
0-3
AWAY Al-Ain
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Ain swept aside Al Safa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Al-Ain made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 50% of the ball to Al-Ain's 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al-Ain led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Safa and 2.00 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al-Ain?

Al Safa 0-3 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 40%, draw 33%, Al-Ain 27%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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