Adanaspor 3-4 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

Adanaspor
3-4 HT 1-2
Pendikspor
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Adanaspor vs Pendikspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.57
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
11%
8.23
X/2
20%
4.06
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.45
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v Pendikspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.09/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.10
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
15.6 Crosses 9.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Adanaspor vs Pendikspor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.25
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
182 Passes 438
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-2 HT 3-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
16.03.2008 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor S2P
07.01.2008 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor HAZ

Adanaspor 3-4 Pendikspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
3-4
AWAY Pendikspor
1.76 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
222 Passes 320
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor squeezed past Adanaspor 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Adanaspor had 44% of the ball to Pendikspor's 56%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.76 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Adanaspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adanaspor and 1.67 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Pendikspor?

Adanaspor 3-4 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 26%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 49%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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