Simba 4-0 Fountain Gate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.28
Draw
33%
5.15
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
74%
-41.0pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.5pp
33%
Away Win
9%
+24.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fountain Gate EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.10/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+24% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
4-0
AWAY Fountain Gate
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Simba vs Fountain Gate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba cruised past Fountain Gate 4-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Simba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Simba had 65% of the ball to Fountain Gate's 35%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Simba vs Fountain Gate?

Simba 4-0 Fountain Gate in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Fountain Gate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Simba 33%, draw 33%, Fountain Gate 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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