Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hartford Athletic v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hartford Athletic 2-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic shaded a tight game against Louisville City 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Louisville City at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, possession split 67% to 33% in Hartford Athletic's favour, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Hartford Athletic against 1.67 for Louisville City.
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Result & Final Score
Hartford Athletic 2 - 1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 17%, draw 20%, Louisville City 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Louisville City) went the other way.