Hartford Athletic 2-1 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-11.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 62%
-21% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.27/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.11
-13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
17.5 Crosses 22.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Louisville City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 388
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
04.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
16.10.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
25.06.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
08.09.2021 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-4 HT 2-2 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
15.09.2019 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
2-1
AWAY Louisville City
1.41 xG 0.64
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
455 Passes 192
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 10
40 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hartford Athletic edged past Louisville City 2-1 in the USL Championship on 25 Aug 2024. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 67% of the ball to Louisville City's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.64.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.67 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Hartford Athletic 2-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 26%, draw 27%, Louisville City 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Louisville City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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