25/09/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-2
Frenstat vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
Over
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
44%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Zbrojovka Brno win — 70% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
15%
Home Win
5%
15%
Draw
8%
70%
Away Win
88%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frenstat v Zbrojovka Brno — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Frenstat
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zbrojovka Brno
The Market 94%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+28%
/
-14%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
7
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
7
256 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
491 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.5
POST-MATCH
Frenstat vs Zbrojovka Brno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zbrojovka Brno beat Frenstat 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Zbrojovka Brno as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Frenstat vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Frenstat 1-3 Zbrojovka Brno in the Czech Republic - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frenstat vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zbrojovka Brno win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Frenstat 15%, draw 15%, Zbrojovka Brno 70%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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25 Sep 2024