Havant & Waterlooville 5-1 Marlow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Havant & Waterlooville win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.6pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marlow EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.03/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/5.00
+47% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -61%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Marlow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville cruised past Marlow 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Havant & Waterlooville as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Marlow?

Havant & Waterlooville 5-1 Marlow in the England - Non League Premier on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Marlow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 65%, draw 16%, Marlow 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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