Rapperswil-Jona 2-3 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
28%
6.26
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.68
Over 2.5
60%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
76%
-19.0pp
28%
Draw
13%
+14.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.54
+10% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugano II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
24.02.2024 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 3-0 HT 2-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
30.08.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
2-3
AWAY Lugano II
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II nicked a narrow win over Rapperswil-Jona 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Rapperswil-Jona carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rapperswil-Jona had 64% of the ball to Lugano II's 36%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 0.00 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Lugano II?

Rapperswil-Jona 2-3 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 57%, draw 28%, Lugano II 15%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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