Valerenga (K) 3-0 Anderlecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.38
Over
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Anderlecht (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2024 Anderlecht (K) Anderlecht (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Valerenga (K) Valerenga (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga (K)
3-0
AWAY Anderlecht (K)
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valerenga (K) vs Anderlecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga (K) ran out comfortable winners over Anderlecht (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valerenga (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs Anderlecht (K)?

Valerenga (K) 3-0 Anderlecht (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs Anderlecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 49%, draw 24%, Anderlecht (K) 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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