FK Sarajevo 1-1 Zeljeznicar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.38/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.39
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Zeljeznicar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
03.03.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
08.10.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 2-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
12.05.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-2 HT 1-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
08.03.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
26.08.2022 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-1
AWAY Zeljeznicar
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Sarajevo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 61% of the ball to Zeljeznicar's 39%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.17 for Zeljeznicar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar?

FK Sarajevo 1-1 Zeljeznicar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 41%, draw 29%, Zeljeznicar 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
25 Sep 2024
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