Septemvri Sofia 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 69%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.15/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.09
+150% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -29%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2023 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-3 HT 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
23.03.2019 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 2-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia and CSKA 1948 Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 47% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 53%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.00 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 22%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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