Flint Town United 1-2 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

Flint Town United
1-2 HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flint Town United v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.43/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.31
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-3 HT 2-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
24.02.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
23.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
14.10.2022 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
05.04.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-4 HT 0-2 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
15.03.2022 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL

Flint Town United 1-2 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flint Town United
1-2
AWAY Caernarfon Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town squeezed past Flint Town United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Caernarfon Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Flint Town United had 46% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 54%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flint Town United and 2.33 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town?

Flint Town United 1-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 40%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint Town United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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