Kitchee 6-1 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.16
Draw
26%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
82%
-24.0pp
26%
Draw
11%
+14.3pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.75/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
+31% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
524 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
6-1
AWAY Kowloon City
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee cruised past Kowloon City 6-1. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kitchee had 62% of the ball to Kowloon City's 38%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Kowloon City?

Kitchee 6-1 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 58%, draw 26%, Kowloon City 16%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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