Enyimba 2-1 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.93/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.80
+20% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.04.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
28.07.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 1-1 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
02.06.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 2-1 HT 2-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba squeezed past Lobi Stars 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Enyimba as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Enyimba and 1.00 for Lobi Stars.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Lobi Stars?

Enyimba 2-1 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 55%, draw 25%, Lobi Stars 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enyimba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enyimba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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