Irkutsk 2-3 Chelyabinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
56%
Away Win
68%
-11.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irkutsk EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
221 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Irkutsk vs Chelyabinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelyabinsk edged past Irkutsk 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelyabinsk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Irkutsk vs Chelyabinsk?

Irkutsk 2-3 Chelyabinsk in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irkutsk vs Chelyabinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelyabinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Irkutsk 20%, draw 24%, Chelyabinsk 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelyabinsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelyabinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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