Volna NGO 0-3 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.34
Away Pick
61%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal Tula win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volna NGO The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Volna NGO vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula ran out comfortable winners over Volna NGO 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Volna NGO vs Arsenal Tula?

Volna NGO 0-3 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volna NGO vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Volna NGO 20%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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