Colorado Springs 1-2 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.44/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.43
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.4 Crosses 11.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
292 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-2 HT 2-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLKP
08.06.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
25.08.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-1 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
23.06.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
25.06.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
23.04.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 0-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-2
AWAY New Mexico United
2.42 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
267 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Mexico United nicked a narrow win over Colorado Springs 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 46% of the ball to New Mexico United's 54%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.42 to 1.28 — on chances, Colorado Springs could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for New Mexico United.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Colorado Springs 1-2 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 48%, draw 23%, New Mexico United 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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