Portsmouth 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.36
1/2 EV+ ✓
9%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
9%
7.17
X/2
12%
4.47
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.76
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
0.67/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.04
-66% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 71%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
22.7 Crosses 22.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
291 Passes 268
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
30.07.2022 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-3 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
30.04.2022 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-1 HT 3-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
07.12.2021 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
12.04.2003 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-2 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
23.11.2002 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-3 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
1-2
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.75 xG 1.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
198 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday nicked a narrow win over Portsmouth 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Sheffield Wednesday made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 40% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 60%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield Wednesday led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portsmouth and 1.83 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Portsmouth 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 32%, draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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