Espanyol 0-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.37
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.32
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
16%
5.81
X/2
15%
5.05
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.56
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.16
+11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.7 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sevilla
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 1.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 3-2 HT 1-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
10.09.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-3 HT 1-3 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.02.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.09.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 2-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.02.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
18.08.2019 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
0-2
AWAY Sevilla
1.22 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
237 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla got the better of Espanyol 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sevilla found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Espanyol had 42% of the ball to Sevilla's 58%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.22 to 0.80 — on chances, Espanyol could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 2.17 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Espanyol 0-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 36%, draw 27%, Sevilla 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →