Fuenlabrada 1-0 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.14
2-3
40%
1.81
4-5
17%
5.87
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.59
-40% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +73%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
0W-0D-2L
AWAY UD Ibiza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.94 xG 1.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
188 Passes 321
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.01.2022 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 1-2 HT 1-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
23.10.2021 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 3-1 HT 1-1 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
1-0
AWAY UD Ibiza
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada squeezed past UD Ibiza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fuenlabrada found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 39% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 61%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fuenlabrada and 2.50 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs UD Ibiza?

Fuenlabrada 1-0 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 33%, draw 28%, UD Ibiza 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
25 Oct 2024
21:30 Arenteiro vs Unionistas Analysis →