Weiche Flensburg 1-0 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.68/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.75
-1% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
18.11.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-3 HT 0-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
02.12.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
19.10.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-2 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.08.2015 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
16.08.2014 Hamburg II Hamburg II 3-1 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg squeezed past Hamburg II 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Weiche Flensburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.83 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II?

Weiche Flensburg 1-0 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 48%, draw 23%, Hamburg II 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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