AAli FC 2-1 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.7
2-3 Goals
50%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 53%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AAli FC
2-1
AWAY Malkiya
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC edged past Malkiya 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malkiya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AAli FC had 50% of the ball to Malkiya's 50%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs Malkiya?

AAli FC 2-1 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 34%, draw 25%, Malkiya 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✗ Under 2.5
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