Hellerup IK 1-0 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2024

Hellerup IK
1-0
Naestved
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Hellerup IK vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hellerup IK v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.37
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Hellerup IK vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Naestved
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
20.03.2022 Naestved Naestved 4-3 HT 2-3 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
21.08.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-2 HT 0-2 Naestved Naestved DAN2
14.05.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
18.09.2020 Naestved Naestved 2-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
22.02.2018 Naestved Naestved 3-0 HT 2-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK HAZ

Hellerup IK 1-0 Naestved — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
1-0
AWAY Naestved
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellerup IK nicked a narrow win over Naestved 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hellerup IK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 49% of the ball to Naestved's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellerup IK and 1.83 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs Naestved?

Hellerup IK 1-0 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 34%, draw 30%, Naestved 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naestved) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
25 Oct 2024
20:00 FC Helsingor vs Frem Analysis →