Semen Padang 1-8 Dewa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dewa United EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.76/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.67
-37% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United swept aside Semen Padang 8-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Dewa United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Dewa United?

Semen Padang 1-8 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Dewa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Semen Padang win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 38%, draw 29%, Dewa United 32%. The final score 1-8 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Semen Padang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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