Azerbaycan (K) 1-4 Portekiz (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 25 Oct 2024

Azerbaycan (K)
1-4 HT 0-3
Portekiz (K)
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
European Women's Championship Qualifiers – 2024

Azerbaycan (K) vs Portekiz (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
68%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
2%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.9pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.0pp
68%
Away Win
88%
-19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Azerbaycan (K) v Portekiz (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.34/4.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
-47% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +65%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 83%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
4.0 Crosses 24.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.5

Azerbaycan (K) 1-4 Portekiz (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan (K)
1-4
AWAY Portekiz (K)
36% Ball Possession 64%
2 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan (K) vs Portekiz (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) swept aside Azerbaycan (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Azerbaycan (K) had 36% of the ball to Portekiz (K)'s 64%, shots finished 2-30.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

Azerbaycan (K) 1-4 Portekiz (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan (K) 17%, draw 15%, Portekiz (K) 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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