Romanya (K) 1-2 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
14%
+15.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
229 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 14
3 Corners 7
11.11.2022 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 6-0 HT 3-0 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya (K)
1-2
AWAY Polonya (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Romanya (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) edged past Romanya (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Romanya (K) had 40% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 60%, shots finished 3-12.

What was the final score of Romanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Romanya (K) 1-2 Polonya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Romanya (K) 30%, draw 23%, Polonya (K) 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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