Slovakya (K) 2-1 Galler (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-100% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
Crosses 29.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovakya (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Galler (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
08.04.2015 Galler (K) Galler (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Slovakya (K) Slovakya (K) HAZ
06.04.2015 Galler (K) Galler (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovakya (K) Slovakya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya (K)
2-1
AWAY Galler (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovakya (K) vs Galler (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya (K) edged past Galler (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Galler (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovakya (K) had 44% of the ball to Galler (K)'s 56%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slovakya (K) and 1.00 for Galler (K).

What was the final score of Slovakya (K) vs Galler (K)?

Slovakya (K) 2-1 Galler (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya (K) vs Galler (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galler (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slovakya (K) 26%, draw 27%, Galler (K) 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Galler (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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