Minija 1-0 FK BANGA II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.2pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.52/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.17
-31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FK BANGA II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.06.2024 FK BANGA II 0-2 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
12.11.2022 Minija Minija 1-0 HT 0-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
06.07.2022 FK BANGA II 2-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
24.10.2021 Minija Minija 4-2 HT 2-1 FK BANGA II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
1-0
AWAY FK BANGA II
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minija vs FK BANGA II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija edged past FK BANGA II 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Minija had 45% of the ball to FK BANGA II's 55%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Minija and 1.00 for FK BANGA II.

What was the final score of Minija vs FK BANGA II?

Minija 1-0 FK BANGA II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs FK BANGA II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Minija 59%, draw 20%, FK BANGA II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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