Pulau Pinang 0-4 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.15
Over
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 46%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.59/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.42
-53% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pulau Pinang
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sabah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.05.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
30.07.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah MALES
17.03.2023 Sabah Sabah 5-2 HT 2-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
07.10.2022 Sabah Sabah 4-1 HT 1-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
22.08.2021 Sabah Sabah 0-3 HT 0-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
11.04.2021 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah MALES
POST-MATCH Pulau Pinang vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah ran out comfortable winners over Pulau Pinang 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Sabah made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pulau Pinang and 2.00 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Pulau Pinang vs Sabah?

Pulau Pinang 0-4 Sabah in the Malaysia - Super League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pulau Pinang vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pulau Pinang win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pulau Pinang 38%, draw 26%, Sabah 36%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pulau Pinang) ✗ BTTS Yes
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