Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.49/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.78
-49% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
21.10.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
11.03.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 3-1 HT 2-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
05.12.2021 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Hamrun Spartans 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 43% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 57%, shots finished 3-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 1.50 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?

Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 32%, draw 26%, Hamrun Spartans 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Oct 2024
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