Nacional vs Durazno FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Durazno FC — Team-Based Signals
Nacional 4-0 Durazno FC — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional swept aside Durazno FC 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nacional had 56% of the ball to Durazno FC's 44%, shots finished 16-5.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Durazno FC?
Nacional 4-0 Durazno FC in the Uruguay Cup on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Durazno FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nacional 64%, draw 19%, Durazno FC 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.