Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.32
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
5%
8.94
X/X
13%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
11%
7.27
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.50/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.96
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
19.5 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
1-1
AWAY Wrexham
0.77 xG 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
592 Passes 230
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough and Wrexham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 69% of the ball to Wrexham's 31%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.77 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham in the England - Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 54%, draw 25%, Wrexham 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Middlesbrough), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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