Warrington Town 3-2 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 45%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.42/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.19
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Lancaster City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
04.12.2021 Warrington Town Warrington Town 5-1 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
07.09.2021 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
24.10.2020 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town squeezed past Lancaster City 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Warrington Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warrington Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Warrington Town and 0.60 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Lancaster City?

Warrington Town 3-2 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 36%, draw 24%, Lancaster City 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
25 Oct 2025
17:00 Cleethorpes Town vs Rylands Analysis →
17:00 Whitby Town vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
17:00 Tiverton Town vs Yate Town Analysis →
17:00 Sholing vs Gosport Borough Analysis →
17:00 Evesham United vs Uxbridge Analysis →
17:00 Hungerford Town vs Weymouth Analysis →