San Carlos 1-1 Guadalupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.23
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Guadalupe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
20.04.2023 Guadalupe Guadalupe 2-3 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
20.02.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 0-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
22.09.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 2-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
20.04.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 1-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
04.02.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 3-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
26.09.2021 San Carlos San Carlos 4-2 HT 1-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Guadalupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos and Guadalupe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for San Carlos and 1.67 for Guadalupe.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Guadalupe?

San Carlos 1-1 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Guadalupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 46%, draw 24%, Guadalupe 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Carlos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ BTTS Yes
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