Zilina 3-2 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.88/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
+30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.1 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zilina
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Skalica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 Passes 218
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
15.12.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
14.09.2024 Zilina Zilina 3-2 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
17.02.2024 Skalica Skalica 1-1 HT 1-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
29.09.2023 Zilina Zilina 5-3 HT 2-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
11.02.2023 Zilina Zilina 1-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina
3-2
AWAY Skalica
2.76 xG 2.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
260 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zilina vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zilina nicked a narrow win over Skalica 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zilina as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zilina had 49% of the ball to Skalica's 51%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 2.76 to 2.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zilina had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zilina and 1.00 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Zilina vs Skalica?

Zilina 3-2 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Zilina 60%, draw 21%, Skalica 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zilina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zilina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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