Gaddafi 1-0 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

Gaddafi
1-0 HT 0-0
NEC
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gaddafi vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaddafi v NEC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 45%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.46/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.50
-50% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +86%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
223 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Gaddafi vs NEC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaddafi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY NEC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Gaddafi Gaddafi 0-1 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGA

Gaddafi 1-0 NEC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
1-0
AWAY NEC
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi edged past NEC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was NEC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Gaddafi had 45% of the ball to NEC's 55%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs NEC?

Gaddafi 1-0 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 27%, draw 31%, NEC 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NEC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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