Obolon Kyiv 0-4 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

Obolon Kyiv
0-4 HT 0-2
Polessya
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2025/2026

Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Obolon Kyiv v Polessya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.24
-41% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Polessya
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2025 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
25.08.2024 Polessya Polessya 4-0 HT 3-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
16.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
02.09.2023 Polessya Polessya 2-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya cruised past Obolon Kyiv 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 1.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya?

Obolon Kyiv 0-4 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 27%, draw 28%, Polessya 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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