Monza U20 0-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.52/2.00
-35% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +129% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza U20
0-1
AWAY Fiorentina U20
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 nicked a narrow win over Monza U20 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monza U20 had 36% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 64%, shots finished 8-28.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Monza U20 0-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 33%, draw 21%, Fiorentina U20 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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