Kisvarda 1-1 Budapest Honved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.83/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.47
+75% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Budapest Honved
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
04.02.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
04.09.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
30.04.2022 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
05.02.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 3-2 HT 1-2 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
01.10.2021 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-1
AWAY Budapest Honved
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda and Budapest Honved shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kisvarda at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 54% of the ball to Budapest Honved's 46%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budapest Honved led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kisvarda and 1.50 for Budapest Honved.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved?

Kisvarda 1-1 Budapest Honved in the Hungary - NB II on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 52%, draw 26%, Budapest Honved 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kisvarda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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