Melita 0-3 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

Melita
0-3 HT 0-1
Naxxar Lions
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2024/2025

Melita vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.91
Over 2.5
35%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.68
No
63%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
48%
+17.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
52%
-17.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
56%
-19.0pp
63%
BTTS No
44%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melita v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Melita vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melita
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 2
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.10.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Melita MLTP

Melita 0-3 Naxxar Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
0-3
AWAY Naxxar Lions
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melita vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions ran out comfortable winners over Melita 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Melita had 51% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 49%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Melita vs Naxxar Lions?

Melita 0-3 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Melita 29%, draw 29%, Naxxar Lions 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →