Chelsea U19 1-1 Barcelona U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.31
No
43%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.65
2-3 Goals
41%
2.41
4-5 Goals
24%
2.29
6+ Goals
14%
3.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
24%
+20.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
76%
-20.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.1pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.81/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.80
+121% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.7 Crosses 17.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U19
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Barcelona U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
3.40 xG 2.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 385
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2019 Barcelona U19 Barcelona U19 2-2 HT 1-0 Chelsea U19 Chelsea U19 UEGL
23.04.2018 Chelsea U19 Chelsea U19 0-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona U19 Barcelona U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U19
1-1
AWAY Barcelona U19
1.40 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
456 Passes 537
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea U19 vs Barcelona U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U19 and Barcelona U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U19 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Chelsea U19 had 46% of the ball to Barcelona U19's 54%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.40 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona U19 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chelsea U19 and 2.50 for Barcelona U19.

What was the final score of Chelsea U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Chelsea U19 1-1 Barcelona U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U19 50%, draw 18%, Barcelona U19 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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