Ismaily 2-2 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 25 Dec 2024

📅25/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
1.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
11%
5.77
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.99 — our 43% vs market 41.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
31%
-8.5pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.9pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.26/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.3 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.03 xG 2.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
298 Passes 176
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
23.08.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-2 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
18.10.2019 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
31.01.2015 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
2-2
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.72 xG 0.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
381 Passes 178
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily and Haras El Hodood shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ismaily at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 64% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 36%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ismaily and 1.25 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood?

Ismaily 2-2 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 25/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 48%, draw 22%, Haras El Hodood 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
25 Dec 2024
18:00 Sakandary vs Future FC Analysis →
21:00 Pyramids vs Pharco Analysis →