EGS Gafsa 0-3 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 25 Dec 2024

EGS Gafsa
0-3 HT 0-1
ES Tunis
📅25/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

EGS Gafsa vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.95
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.7pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EGS Gafsa v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 70%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.00/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.71
-100% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -56%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis swept aside EGS Gafsa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs ES Tunis?

EGS Gafsa 0-3 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 25/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 16%, draw 26%, ES Tunis 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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