Eibar 1-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 36% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
17.15
X/1
16%
3.52
X/2
9%
11.05
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
9.89
2/X
7%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
1.46/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.42
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.1 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mirandes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
20.03.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-3 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
10.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.04.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
09.10.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 3-3 HT 1-2 Eibar Eibar İS2
22.03.2014 Mirandes Mirandes 1-4 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-0
AWAY Mirandes
1.52 xG 0.95
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
483 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar nicked a narrow win over Mirandes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eibar had 62% of the ball to Mirandes's 38%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.52 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Eibar and 1.33 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Mirandes?

Eibar 1-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eibar 50%, draw 26%, Mirandes 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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