Cagliari 1-2 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.67
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.53
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
8%
6.52
X/2
12%
4.37
X/X
19%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.16
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.07/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.07
+0% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.8 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
245 Passes 351
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
27.02.2022 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
06.12.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
19.02.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
18.10.2020 Torino Torino 2-3 HT 1-2 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
27.06.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 4-2 HT 2-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1-2
AWAY Torino
2.27 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
25 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
273 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
42 Box Touches 24
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino edged past Cagliari 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Torino made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cagliari had 51% of the ball to Torino's 49%, shots finished 25-16, expected goals 2.27 to 1.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cagliari.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Torino.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Torino?

Cagliari 1-2 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 32%, draw 30%, Torino 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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