Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eintracht Frankfurt v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
AL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
AL1
2-2
HT 1-2
Eintracht Frankfurt
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt edged past Mainz 05 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 56% of the ball to Mainz 05's 44%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.83 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz 05?
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 49%, draw 25%, Mainz 05 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.