Werder Bremen (K) 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
1.96
No
71%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.8pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+7.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.4pp
29%
BTTS Yes
47%
-17.9pp
71%
BTTS No
53%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
2-1
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.95 xG 0.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
293 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) edged past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 52% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 48%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.95 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 31%, draw 22%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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