Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jan 2024

Atletico Tucuman
1-1 HT 0-1
Rosario Central
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.88
6+ Goals
7%
42.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.3
X/2
8%
6.8
X/X
17%
3.55
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
14%
5.81
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.3pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.17/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
+8% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.6 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
273 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
18.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
14.10.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
20.11.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
30.07.2019 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
10.11.2018 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 2-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ

Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1-1
AWAY Rosario Central
1.11 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 202
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tucuman at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 57% of the ball to Rosario Central's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.11 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.50 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 41%, draw 30%, Rosario Central 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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